Featured Research

from universities, journals, and other organizations

Incidence Of Stroke To Skyrocket Well Into The 21st Century

Date:
February 9, 1998
Source:
American Heart Association
Summary:
Approximately 400,000 Americans have a first-ever stroke each year, and according to researchers from the University of Iowa, current trends indicate that number will increase steadily, surpassing the 1 million mark in 2050.

ORLANDO, Feb. 6 -- Approximately 400,000 Americans have a first-ever stroke each year, and according to researchers from the University of Iowa, current trends indicate that number will increase steadily, surpassing the 1 million mark in 2050.

The findings were presented here today at the American Heart Association's 23rd International Joint Conference on Stroke and Cerebral Circulation.

The researchers project that by 2050, a total of 1,017,900 Americans will have a first-ever stroke each year as opposed to the 401,000 Americans who currently each year have their first stroke. This signifies an 167 percent increase in stroke incidence among men and 140 percent among women.

"Stroke is so age-related," says Patricia Davis, M.D., associate professor, department of neurology at the University of Iowa. "More baby boomers are moving into the prime age group to have a stroke. We expect that the elderly population will have the greatest increase in stroke incidence."

While the overall population will increase by 50 percent, the more than doubling of the number of total first stroke cases is attributable primarily to the aging of the population, says Davis.

"We are looking at a big problem in the future unless we devote ourselves to developing better preventive interventions," says Davis.

Davis says that by decreasing the incidence rate of stroke by 20 percent only in those over age 65, the total number of strokes would decline by 16.7 percent.

The greatest rise would be in the most common type of stroke, ischemic strokes, which are caused by clots that prevent blood flow to the brain. The researchers state that ischemic strokes would rise from 324,200 currently to 853,800 in 2050. In addition, they say that the incidence of two types of strokes caused by bleeding in the brain -- intracerebral hemorrhages and subarachnoid hemorrhages -- will nearly double.

No matter what the eventual number is, researchers believe that now is the time to start planning for the substantial rise in strokes if prevention does not prove effective. "Because we're projecting out quite a long way into the future, it is important to understand the limitations of this analysis," says Davis. "But it's useful for health-care planning to start thinking about this eventuality. We feel that by using this model, we can look at where our intervention strategies would have the most impact."

Stroke is the leading cause of disability in the United States and the third leading cause of death. According to the American Heart Association, stroke costs $28.3 billion per year when the cost of care and treatment are factored in. Figuring in indirect costs such as lost productivity, the total rises to $43.3 billion per year.

"It's important to plan ahead so that we have the resources to cope with the increased amount of disability which will result from the increased number of future stroke patients," says Davis. "If it costs almost $30 billion now, it's staggering to think about what it could cost in the future."

The researchers used U.S. Census Bureau data and population-based epidemiological studies and operated under the assumption that stroke incidence rates would remain unchanged as they have been the past 10 years.

Researchers estimated the age-, sex- and race-specific incidence rates for ischemic stroke, subarachnoid hemorrhage, and intracerebral hemorrhage for 1990. The projections for incident stroke cases were calculated by applying incidence rate estimates to the "middle-series" projections of the U.S. population for the years 1995 to 2050 developed by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Co-authors of the study include Thomas N. Taylor, Ph.D., and James C. Torner, Ph.D., of the University of Iowa.


Story Source:

The above story is based on materials provided by American Heart Association. Note: Materials may be edited for content and length.


Cite This Page:

American Heart Association. "Incidence Of Stroke To Skyrocket Well Into The 21st Century." ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 9 February 1998. <www.sciencedaily.com/releases/1998/02/980209044831.htm>.
American Heart Association. (1998, February 9). Incidence Of Stroke To Skyrocket Well Into The 21st Century. ScienceDaily. Retrieved July 28, 2014 from www.sciencedaily.com/releases/1998/02/980209044831.htm
American Heart Association. "Incidence Of Stroke To Skyrocket Well Into The 21st Century." ScienceDaily. www.sciencedaily.com/releases/1998/02/980209044831.htm (accessed July 28, 2014).

Share This




More Mind & Brain News

Monday, July 28, 2014

Featured Research

from universities, journals, and other organizations


Featured Videos

from AP, Reuters, AFP, and other news services

Losing Sleep Leaves You Vulnerable To 'False Memories'

Losing Sleep Leaves You Vulnerable To 'False Memories'

Newsy (July 27, 2014) A new study shows sleep deprivation can make it harder for people to remember specific details of an event. Video provided by Newsy
Powered by NewsLook.com
University Quiz Implies Atheists Are Smarter Than Christians

University Quiz Implies Atheists Are Smarter Than Christians

Newsy (July 25, 2014) An online quiz from a required course at Ohio State is making waves for suggesting atheists are inherently smarter than Christians. Video provided by Newsy
Powered by NewsLook.com
Beatings and Addiction: Pakistan Drug 'clinic' Tortures Patients

Beatings and Addiction: Pakistan Drug 'clinic' Tortures Patients

AFP (July 24, 2014) A so-called drugs rehab 'clinic' is closed down in Pakistan after police find scores of ‘patients’ chained up alleging serial abuse. Duration 03:05 Video provided by AFP
Powered by NewsLook.com
New Painkiller Designed To Discourage Abuse: Will It Work?

New Painkiller Designed To Discourage Abuse: Will It Work?

Newsy (July 24, 2014) The FDA approved Targiniq ER on Wednesday, a painkiller designed to keep users from abusing it. Like any new medication, however, it has doubters. Video provided by Newsy
Powered by NewsLook.com

Search ScienceDaily

Number of stories in archives: 140,361

Find with keyword(s):
Enter a keyword or phrase to search ScienceDaily for related topics and research stories.

Save/Print:
Share:

Breaking News:
from the past week

In Other News

... from NewsDaily.com

Science News

Health News

Environment News

Technology News



Save/Print:
Share:

Free Subscriptions


Get the latest science news with ScienceDaily's free email newsletters, updated daily and weekly. Or view hourly updated newsfeeds in your RSS reader:

Get Social & Mobile


Keep up to date with the latest news from ScienceDaily via social networks and mobile apps:

Have Feedback?


Tell us what you think of ScienceDaily -- we welcome both positive and negative comments. Have any problems using the site? Questions?
Mobile: iPhone Android Web
Follow: Facebook Twitter Google+
Subscribe: RSS Feeds Email Newsletters
Latest Headlines Health & Medicine Mind & Brain Space & Time Matter & Energy Computers & Math Plants & Animals Earth & Climate Fossils & Ruins