Featured Research

from universities, journals, and other organizations

Asthma Patients' Histories Can Predict Future Risk

Date:
April 30, 1998
Source:
Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions
Summary:
Johns Hopkins researchers have uncovered a simple way to predict which adult

Johns Hopkins researchers have uncovered a simple way to predict which adult asthma patients are likely to run into asthma problems within the next year and possibly could benefit from different strategies to manage their disease.

Related Articles


In a study funded by the Managed Health Care Association (MHCA), a group of major U.S. employers with affiliated health plans, the Hopkins team used information from two patient surveys to develop a "risk index" for undesirable outcomes. The best predictors were visits to an emergency room within the past two years and cancelled activities within the past month.

"We need to confirm the applicability of our findings, but it may be possible to use these models to help doctors target high-risk patients for more education about such things as medication compliance and staying away from substances that trigger asthma attacks," says RobinYurk, M.D., postdoctoral fellow at the School of Medicine.

In a poster prepared for the American Lung Association/American Thoracic Society International Conference in Chicago, Yurk and her Hopkins colleagues at the School of Public Health said non-white race, asthma symptoms between outright attacks, recent use of oral steroids and more than 8 puffs a day of inhaled asthma drugs known as beta agonists also emerged as potent predictors of future attacks.

The Hopkins team used data from a survey mailed to managed care plan members, and a followup survey taken a year later.

"We selected 4,742 patients with moderate to severe asthma and used data from the first survey to predict responses in the second," says Yurk. "We identified 13 questions that can be combined to identify patients at risk for several undesirable outcomes, including hospital use, emergency room use, lost work days and severe asthma symptoms."

The different models allow the problem of risk to be analyzed from different perspectives: employer, managed care organization, or physician/patient.

Asthma affects an estimated 12 million Americans, including 4 million children, and kills 5,000 patients annually. Researchers estimate the annual direct costs for hospitalization and treatment at $3.6 billion, and indirect costs including lost works days and premature death at $2.6 billion.

"We hope the new models will be tested in the broader population, including patients not enrolled in managed care," says Albert Wu, M.D., associate professor of health policy and management in the Hopkins School of Public Health and senior author on the study.

Yurk and Wu took their data from MHCA's Management System Project Consortium, which is directed by Don Steinwachs. Other authors were Gregory Diette, M.D., a postdoctoral fellow; and Anne Skinner, an expert in survey research.


Story Source:

The above story is based on materials provided by Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions. Note: Materials may be edited for content and length.


Cite This Page:

Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions. "Asthma Patients' Histories Can Predict Future Risk." ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 30 April 1998. <www.sciencedaily.com/releases/1998/04/980430034019.htm>.
Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions. (1998, April 30). Asthma Patients' Histories Can Predict Future Risk. ScienceDaily. Retrieved December 18, 2014 from www.sciencedaily.com/releases/1998/04/980430034019.htm
Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions. "Asthma Patients' Histories Can Predict Future Risk." ScienceDaily. www.sciencedaily.com/releases/1998/04/980430034019.htm (accessed December 18, 2014).

Share This


More From ScienceDaily



More Health & Medicine News

Thursday, December 18, 2014

Featured Research

from universities, journals, and other organizations


Featured Videos

from AP, Reuters, AFP, and other news services

Kids Die While Under Protective Services

Kids Die While Under Protective Services

AP (Dec. 18, 2014) As part of a six-month investigation of child maltreatment deaths, the AP found that hundreds of deaths from horrific abuse and neglect could have been prevented. AP's Haven Daley reports. (Dec. 18) Video provided by AP
Powered by NewsLook.com
UN: Up to One Million Facing Hunger in Ebola-Hit Countries

UN: Up to One Million Facing Hunger in Ebola-Hit Countries

AFP (Dec. 17, 2014) Border closures, quarantines and crop losses in West African nations battling the Ebola virus could lead to as many as one million people going hungry, UN food agencies said on Wednesday. Duration: 00:52 Video provided by AFP
Powered by NewsLook.com
When You Lose Weight, This Is Where The Fat Goes

When You Lose Weight, This Is Where The Fat Goes

Newsy (Dec. 17, 2014) Can fat disappear into thin air? New research finds that during weight loss, over 80 percent of a person's fat molecules escape through the lungs. Video provided by Newsy
Powered by NewsLook.com
Why Your Boss Should Let You Sleep In

Why Your Boss Should Let You Sleep In

Newsy (Dec. 17, 2014) According to research out of the University of Pennsylvania, waking up for work is the biggest factor that causes Americans to lose sleep. Video provided by Newsy
Powered by NewsLook.com

Search ScienceDaily

Number of stories in archives: 140,361

Find with keyword(s):
Enter a keyword or phrase to search ScienceDaily for related topics and research stories.

Save/Print:
Share:

Breaking News:

Strange & Offbeat Stories


Health & Medicine

Mind & Brain

Living & Well

In Other News

... from NewsDaily.com

Science News

Health News

Environment News

Technology News



Save/Print:
Share:

Free Subscriptions


Get the latest science news with ScienceDaily's free email newsletters, updated daily and weekly. Or view hourly updated newsfeeds in your RSS reader:

Get Social & Mobile


Keep up to date with the latest news from ScienceDaily via social networks and mobile apps:

Have Feedback?


Tell us what you think of ScienceDaily -- we welcome both positive and negative comments. Have any problems using the site? Questions?
Mobile: iPhone Android Web
Follow: Facebook Twitter Google+
Subscribe: RSS Feeds Email Newsletters
Latest Headlines Health & Medicine Mind & Brain Space & Time Matter & Energy Computers & Math Plants & Animals Earth & Climate Fossils & Ruins