Featured Research

from universities, journals, and other organizations

UCF Researchers Studying Storm Surge Effects Of Hurricanes On Florida Cities

Date:
September 16, 2005
Source:
University of Central Florida
Summary:
Scott Hagen, an associate professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering, and graduate students plan to study the potential effects of storm surges on Florida's east coast, particularly Miami and Jacksonville. They are conducting early work on their own initiative with a long-term goal of helping the state become better prepared for hurricanes.

Scott Hagen, an associate professor of Civiland Environmental Engineering, and his team of graduate students havestarted analyzing the potential effects of a Category 4 hurricanestriking the Tampa Bay region. They ran their storm surge model withwind and pressure fields for hypothetical hurricanes with threedifferent paths and traveling at two different speeds, 5 and 15 mph.They concluded that such storms would produce surges of 20 to 25 feetin parts of Tampa Bay.

Hagen and the graduate students also planto study the potential effects of storm surges on Florida’s east coast,particularly Miami and Jacksonville. They are conducting this earlywork on their own initiative with a long-term goal of helping the statebecome better prepared for hurricanes.

“We’ll never have a floodup to our rooftops like New Orleans, but that doesn’t mean there won’tbe pockets of flooding in our cities that have the potential to causedrownings,” said Hagen, who is director of the Coastal HydroscienceAnalysis, Modeling and Predictive Simulations Laboratory, which isknown as the CHAMPS Lab.

Hagen said cities will have to balancetheir risks of storm surges with the costs of fortifying sea walls andlevees when they decide how much protection they want to add. They alsoneed to consider the gradually rising sea level, he said.

“Usually,we’ll say if we have a 99.5 percent confidence level that it’s notgoing to fail, we’re going to feel pretty good,” Hagen said. “We canlive with that year in and year out, but there’s still that one-halfpercent chance, and that’s what you saw in New Orleans.”

Theresearch team’s analysis of Tampa Bay showed the highest storm surges,about 25 feet, result from a hurricane moving at 15 mph with maximumwinds of 140 mph. While the maximum storm surge levels for a stormmoving at 5 mph were a few feet lower, the surge levels remained highfor much longer and therefore posed more serious risks.

Graduatestudents working with Hagen are Peter Bacopoulos of Daytona Beach,David Coggin of Orange Park, Yuji Funakoshi of Tokyo and Mike Salisburyof Fort Pierce.

In related efforts, Hagen and the students arepart of a program created to improve the national system forforecasting winds, waves and storm surges related to hurricanes. Thegoal of that project, funded by the National Oceanographic PartnershipProgram, is to generate real-time, probabilistic storm surge elevationsfor the United States’ East Coast and Gulf of Mexico based on potentialhurricane tracks. The results will help governments issue more accurateemergency advisories during storms. UCF’s partners in that effortinclude the universities of Miami and Florida, the U.S. Army Corps ofEngineers, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/AtlanticOceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory Hurricane Research Divisionand Oceanweather Inc.

Hagen and his students also collaboratewith the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Peachtree City,Ga., on real-time forecasting for coastal rivers. The National Oceanicand Atmospheric Administration also is funding the CHAMPS Lab todevelop a real-time forecasting system for the St. Johns River.

More information about the CHAMPS Lab is available at http://champs.cecs.ucf.edu.


Story Source:

The above story is based on materials provided by University of Central Florida. Note: Materials may be edited for content and length.


Cite This Page:

University of Central Florida. "UCF Researchers Studying Storm Surge Effects Of Hurricanes On Florida Cities." ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 16 September 2005. <www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2005/09/050916073522.htm>.
University of Central Florida. (2005, September 16). UCF Researchers Studying Storm Surge Effects Of Hurricanes On Florida Cities. ScienceDaily. Retrieved October 21, 2014 from www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2005/09/050916073522.htm
University of Central Florida. "UCF Researchers Studying Storm Surge Effects Of Hurricanes On Florida Cities." ScienceDaily. www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2005/09/050916073522.htm (accessed October 21, 2014).

Share This



More Earth & Climate News

Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Featured Research

from universities, journals, and other organizations


Featured Videos

from AP, Reuters, AFP, and other news services

Traditional Farming Methods Gaining Ground in Mali

Traditional Farming Methods Gaining Ground in Mali

AFP (Oct. 20, 2014) He is leading a one man agricultural revolution in Mali - Oumar Diatabe uses traditional farming methods to get the most out of his land and is teaching others across the country how to do the same. Duration: 01:44 Video provided by AFP
Powered by NewsLook.com
How Detroit's Money Woes Led To U.N.-Condemned Water Cutoffs

How Detroit's Money Woes Led To U.N.-Condemned Water Cutoffs

Newsy (Oct. 20, 2014) The United Nations says water is a human right, but should it be free? Detroit has cut off water to residents who can't pay, and the U.N. isn't happy. Video provided by Newsy
Powered by NewsLook.com
Hey, Doc! Sewage, Beer and Food Scraps Can Power Chevrolet’s Bi-Fuel Impala

Hey, Doc! Sewage, Beer and Food Scraps Can Power Chevrolet’s Bi-Fuel Impala

3BL Media (Oct. 20, 2014) Hey, Doc! Sewage, Beer and Food Scraps Can Power Chevrolet’s Bi-fuel Impala Video provided by 3BL
Powered by NewsLook.com
White Rhino's Death In Kenya Means Just 6 Are Left

White Rhino's Death In Kenya Means Just 6 Are Left

Newsy (Oct. 20, 2014) Suni, a rare northern white rhino at Ol Pejeta Conservancy, died Friday. This, as many media have pointed out, leaves people fearing extinction. Video provided by Newsy
Powered by NewsLook.com

Search ScienceDaily

Number of stories in archives: 140,361

Find with keyword(s):
Enter a keyword or phrase to search ScienceDaily for related topics and research stories.

Save/Print:
Share:

Breaking News:

Strange & Offbeat Stories


Plants & Animals

Earth & Climate

Fossils & Ruins

In Other News

... from NewsDaily.com

Science News

Health News

Environment News

Technology News



Save/Print:
Share:

Free Subscriptions


Get the latest science news with ScienceDaily's free email newsletters, updated daily and weekly. Or view hourly updated newsfeeds in your RSS reader:

Get Social & Mobile


Keep up to date with the latest news from ScienceDaily via social networks and mobile apps:

Have Feedback?


Tell us what you think of ScienceDaily -- we welcome both positive and negative comments. Have any problems using the site? Questions?
Mobile: iPhone Android Web
Follow: Facebook Twitter Google+
Subscribe: RSS Feeds Email Newsletters
Latest Headlines Health & Medicine Mind & Brain Space & Time Matter & Energy Computers & Math Plants & Animals Earth & Climate Fossils & Ruins