Featured Research

from universities, journals, and other organizations

A Crystal Ball Of Earthquakes

Date:
February 15, 2007
Source:
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council
Summary:
When the next big earthquake hits a region like San Francisco, Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council grantee Kristy Tiampo wants to ensure that communities will not only be able to evacuate, but also rebuild. This is why Tiampo, the NSERC and Benfield/ICLR Industrial Research Chair in Earthquake Hazard Assessment, is involved in an international effort to improve earthquake forecasting.

When the next big earthquake hits a region like San Francisco, Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council (NSERC) grantee Kristy Tiampo wants to ensure that communities will not only be able to evacuate, but also rebuild.

This is why Tiampo, the NSERC and Benfield/ICLR Industrial Research Chair in Earthquake Hazard Assessment, is involved in an international effort to improve earthquake forecasting. She studied earthquake engineering in California as an undergraduate, and is now using her research to build better forecasting maps in Canada and other countries.

Within the next five years, she and her collaborators hope to produce 10-year forecasts for several countries. They will use the information to make suggestions to governments about which areas should shore up their buildings and determine the order of preparations.

"We now know where many potential earthquake hot spots are, but the key is to direct government spending towards the areas that need attention," says Tiampo. "For the most part, we work with hazard maps predicting the next 30 to 50 years of ground shaking over a widespread area. We need to pinpoint locations so we know where to provide support first."

Tiampo and other collaborators are adapting their forecast methods from an old physics technique called "phase dynamics." This means they are calculating the number of earthquakes in a small location, such as San Francisco, and then comparing it to the earthquake rate for an entire region.

The broader issue, Tiampo says, is sociological. Once scientists have the information, it is difficult for them to publish papers saying where the earthquake will occur because the people who it affects do not know the implications.

"One of the main elements of my research focuses on finding ways to communicate the risks responsibly and accurately to both the government and public officials, to make sure that they are prepared when they have the information in hand."


Story Source:

The above story is based on materials provided by Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council. Note: Materials may be edited for content and length.


Cite This Page:

Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council. "A Crystal Ball Of Earthquakes." ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 15 February 2007. <www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/02/070215081912.htm>.
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council. (2007, February 15). A Crystal Ball Of Earthquakes. ScienceDaily. Retrieved July 28, 2014 from www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/02/070215081912.htm
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council. "A Crystal Ball Of Earthquakes." ScienceDaily. www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/02/070215081912.htm (accessed July 28, 2014).

Share This




More Earth & Climate News

Monday, July 28, 2014

Featured Research

from universities, journals, and other organizations


Featured Videos

from AP, Reuters, AFP, and other news services

Asteroid's Timing Was 'Colossal Bad Luck' For The Dinosaurs

Asteroid's Timing Was 'Colossal Bad Luck' For The Dinosaurs

Newsy (July 28, 2014) The asteroid that killed the dinosaurs struck at the worst time for them. A new study says that if it hit earlier or later, they might've survived. Video provided by Newsy
Powered by NewsLook.com
The Carbon Trap: US Exports Global Warming

The Carbon Trap: US Exports Global Warming

AP (July 28, 2014) AP Investigation: As the Obama administration weans the country off dirty fuels, energy companies are ramping-up overseas coal exports at a heavy price. (July 28) Video provided by AP
Powered by NewsLook.com
Raw: Sea Turtle Hatchlings Emerge from Nest

Raw: Sea Turtle Hatchlings Emerge from Nest

AP (July 27, 2014) A live-streaming webcam catches loggerhead sea turtle hatchlings emerging from a nest in the Florida Keys. (July 27) Video provided by AP
Powered by NewsLook.com
Trees Could Save More Than 850 Lives Each Year

Trees Could Save More Than 850 Lives Each Year

Newsy (July 27, 2014) A national study conducted by the USDA Forest Service found that trees collectively save more than 850 lives on an annual basis. Video provided by Newsy
Powered by NewsLook.com

Search ScienceDaily

Number of stories in archives: 140,361

Find with keyword(s):
Enter a keyword or phrase to search ScienceDaily for related topics and research stories.

Save/Print:
Share:

Breaking News:
from the past week

In Other News

... from NewsDaily.com

Science News

Health News

Environment News

Technology News



Save/Print:
Share:

Free Subscriptions


Get the latest science news with ScienceDaily's free email newsletters, updated daily and weekly. Or view hourly updated newsfeeds in your RSS reader:

Get Social & Mobile


Keep up to date with the latest news from ScienceDaily via social networks and mobile apps:

Have Feedback?


Tell us what you think of ScienceDaily -- we welcome both positive and negative comments. Have any problems using the site? Questions?
Mobile: iPhone Android Web
Follow: Facebook Twitter Google+
Subscribe: RSS Feeds Email Newsletters
Latest Headlines Health & Medicine Mind & Brain Space & Time Matter & Energy Computers & Math Plants & Animals Earth & Climate Fossils & Ruins