Featured Research

from universities, journals, and other organizations

Hurricane Forecast: Heightened Activity For Rest Of Season

Date:
September 6, 2007
Source:
Colorado State University
Summary:
Above-average hurricane activity is expected for the remaining three months of the hurricane season, the Colorado State University forecast team said September 4. The individual month of September and the two-month period of October-November are expected to experience five named storms each. In September, the forecast calls for four of the five storms to become hurricanes and two to become major hurricanes. In October-November, the team forecasts two of the five named storms to become hurricanes and one to become a major hurricane.

Above-average hurricane activity is expected for the remaining three months of the hurricane season, the Colorado State University forecast team said September 4.

Related Articles


The individual month of September and the two-month period of October-November are expected to experience five named storms each. In September, the forecast calls for four of the five storms to become hurricanes and two to become major hurricanes. In October-November, the team forecasts two of the five named storms to become hurricanes and one to become a major hurricane.

"We expect the remainder of the season to be active," said Phil Klotzbach, lead author of the hurricane forecast. "The conditions in the Pacific are transitioning to a weak La Nina.We have seen low pressure readings in the tropical Atlantic during August. The combination of these two factors usually implies an active season."

"We predict that September-November will exhibit characteristics of an active year based on climate signals through August," said William Gray, who has been issuing hurricane forecasts at Colorado State for 24 years.

These conditions include Atlantic basin sea surface temperatures that have remained at near-normal values along with ENSO conditions that trended slightly cooler during August. Atlantic sea level pressure values were at near-record low levels during August.

June-July 2007 had average activity with two named storms forming during the two-month period (Barry and Chantal). No activity occurred in the deep tropics during June and July.

August had about average numbers of tropical cyclone formations. The one hurricane that formed (Dean) reached Category 5 status and lasted for 3.75 days as a major hurricane. This is the most days that a single major hurricane has accrued during the month of August since Hurricane Frances in 2004.

The Colorado State team continuously works to improve forecast methodologies based on a variety of climate-related global and regional predictors.


Story Source:

The above story is based on materials provided by Colorado State University. Note: Materials may be edited for content and length.


Cite This Page:

Colorado State University. "Hurricane Forecast: Heightened Activity For Rest Of Season." ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 6 September 2007. <www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/09/070904214328.htm>.
Colorado State University. (2007, September 6). Hurricane Forecast: Heightened Activity For Rest Of Season. ScienceDaily. Retrieved December 21, 2014 from www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/09/070904214328.htm
Colorado State University. "Hurricane Forecast: Heightened Activity For Rest Of Season." ScienceDaily. www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/09/070904214328.htm (accessed December 21, 2014).

Share This


More From ScienceDaily



More Earth & Climate News

Sunday, December 21, 2014

Featured Research

from universities, journals, and other organizations


Featured Videos

from AP, Reuters, AFP, and other news services

Raw: Lava on Track to Hit Hawaii Market

Raw: Lava on Track to Hit Hawaii Market

AP (Dec. 19, 2014) Lava from an active volcano on Hawaii's Big Island slowed slightly but stayed on track to hit a shopping center in the small town of Pahoa. (Dec. 19) Video provided by AP
Powered by NewsLook.com
Birds Might Be Better Meteorologists Than Us

Birds Might Be Better Meteorologists Than Us

Newsy (Dec. 19, 2014) A new study suggests a certain type of bird was able to sense a tornado outbreak that moved through the U.S. a day before it hit. Video provided by Newsy
Powered by NewsLook.com
Navy Unveils Robot Fish

Navy Unveils Robot Fish

Reuters - Light News Video Online (Dec. 18, 2014) The U.S. Navy unveils an underwater device that mimics the movement of a fish. Tara Cleary reports. Video provided by Reuters
Powered by NewsLook.com
Arctic Warming Twice As Fast As Rest Of Planet

Arctic Warming Twice As Fast As Rest Of Planet

Newsy (Dec. 18, 2014) The Arctic is warming twice as fast as the rest of the planet, thanks in part to something called feedback. Video provided by Newsy
Powered by NewsLook.com

Search ScienceDaily

Number of stories in archives: 140,361

Find with keyword(s):
Enter a keyword or phrase to search ScienceDaily for related topics and research stories.

Save/Print:
Share:

Breaking News:

Strange & Offbeat Stories


Plants & Animals

Earth & Climate

Fossils & Ruins

In Other News

... from NewsDaily.com

Science News

Health News

Environment News

Technology News



Save/Print:
Share:

Free Subscriptions


Get the latest science news with ScienceDaily's free email newsletters, updated daily and weekly. Or view hourly updated newsfeeds in your RSS reader:

Get Social & Mobile


Keep up to date with the latest news from ScienceDaily via social networks and mobile apps:

Have Feedback?


Tell us what you think of ScienceDaily -- we welcome both positive and negative comments. Have any problems using the site? Questions?
Mobile: iPhone Android Web
Follow: Facebook Twitter Google+
Subscribe: RSS Feeds Email Newsletters
Latest Headlines Health & Medicine Mind & Brain Space & Time Matter & Energy Computers & Math Plants & Animals Earth & Climate Fossils & Ruins