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Risk of cancer due to radiation exposure in middle age may be higher than previously estimated

Date:
October 27, 2010
Source:
Journal of the National Cancer Institute
Summary:
Contrary to common assumptions, the risk of cancer associated with radiation exposure in middle age may not be lower than the risk associated with exposure at younger ages, according to a new study.

New research suggests that the risk of cancer associated with radiation exposure in middle age may not be lower than the risk associated with exposure at younger ages.
Credit: iStockphoto

Contrary to common assumptions, the risk of cancer associated with radiation exposure in middle age may not be lower than the risk associated with exposure at younger ages, according to a study published online October 25 in the Journal of the National Cancer Institute.

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It is well known that children are more sensitive than adults to the effects of radiation and that they have a greater risk of developing radiation-induced cancer than adults. Some data also suggest that, in general, the older a person is when exposed to radiation, the lower their risk of developing a radiation-induced cancer. On the other hand, statistical evidence from long-term studies of atomic bomb survivors in Japan indicates that for radiation exposure after about age 30, the risk of developing radiation-induced cancer does not continue to decline.

To explore this issue, David J. Brenner, Ph.D., D.Sc., at Columbia University in New York, and colleagues reanalyzed the Japanese atomic bomb survivor data assuming two different pathways through which radiation exposure can ultimately lead to cancer. The first is initiation of gene mutations that convert normal stem cells to premalignant cells that could eventually lead to cancer. The second is radiation induced promotion, or expansion, of the number of existing premalignant cells in the body. The initiation effect is more likely to play a role in children than in adults, they reason, because cells initiated at an early age have a longer time available to expand in number and progress on the pathway to cancer. The promotion effect, on the other hand, is more likely to be important for radiation exposures in middle age, because the adult body already contains larger numbers of premalignant cells.

The researchers developed a model based on these biological effects and applied the model to the Japanese atomic bomb survivor data. They found that the model was able to reproduce the cancer risk patterns associated with age at radiation exposure observed in these survivors. They then applied the same model to predict cancer risks as a function of age in the U.S. population and found that the cancer risks predicted by the model were consistent with the data in the age range from about 30 to 60.

The authors conclude that cancer risk after exposure in middle age may increase for some tumor types contrary to conventional wisdom. They add that these findings could have practical implications regarding x-ray diagnostic tests, which are predominantly performed on middle aged adults, as well as for occupations that involve radiation exposures, again where most exposures are in middle age.

"Overall, the weight of the epidemiological evidence suggests that for adult exposures, radiation risks do not generally decrease with increasing age at exposure," they write, "and the mechanistic underpinning described here provides this conclusion with some biological plausibility."

In an accompanying editorial, John D. Boice, Sc.D., of the International Epidemiology Institute, Rockville, Md., and Vanderbilt University, Nashville, notes that there are uncertainties in generalizing the Japanese data to a U.S. population. He also notes that other data and other models contradict the results of this study. However, he concludes that this biology-based model "raises provocative hypotheses and conclusions that, although preliminary, draw attention to the continued importance of low-dose radiation exposures in our society."


Story Source:

The above story is based on materials provided by Journal of the National Cancer Institute. Note: Materials may be edited for content and length.


Journal References:

  1. Igor Shuryak, Rainer K. Sachs, David J. Brenner. Cancer Risks After Radiation Exposure in Middle Age. Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2010; DOI: 10.1093/jnci/djq346
  2. John D. Boice, Jr. Models, Models Everywhere—Is There a Fit for Lifetime Risks? Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2010; DOI: 10.1093/jnci/djq412

Cite This Page:

Journal of the National Cancer Institute. "Risk of cancer due to radiation exposure in middle age may be higher than previously estimated." ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 27 October 2010. <www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/10/101025161028.htm>.
Journal of the National Cancer Institute. (2010, October 27). Risk of cancer due to radiation exposure in middle age may be higher than previously estimated. ScienceDaily. Retrieved October 24, 2014 from www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/10/101025161028.htm
Journal of the National Cancer Institute. "Risk of cancer due to radiation exposure in middle age may be higher than previously estimated." ScienceDaily. www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/10/101025161028.htm (accessed October 24, 2014).

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