May 18, 2011 In the opening editorial to the latest edition of the Journal of Radiological Protection, published May 18, radiological protection expert Professor Richard Wakeford of the Dalton Nuclear Institute, The University of Manchester, gives a detailed account of events at Japan's Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Station, and poses several questions that remain unanswered, several weeks on from the earthquake and tsunami on March 11, 2011.
Taking a close look at information disclosed by Japanese government ministries, the World Health Organisation, the International Atomic Energy Agency and others, Professor Wakeford details events at the six different reactors, and the consequent releases of radioactivity.
While praising the organisational abilities of the Japanese authorities and the heroic efforts of emergency workers, Wakeford is critical of alarmist pronouncements from some of those in authority outside Japan, and offers perspective on the radiological hazard the emergency poses.
Wakeford highlights a peculiarity of the International Nuclear and Radiological Event Scale (INES). The INES, designed to communicate to the public the severity of events at nuclear facilities, rather confusingly brackets Fukushima with Chernobyl as a Level 7 major accident, despite Fukushima only having released 10% of the radioactivity released by Chernobyl at the time the INES announcement was made.
Wakeford explains, "Since Level 7 is the highest rating on INES there can be no distinction between the Fukushima and Chernobyl accidents, leading many to proclaim the Fukushima accident as 'another Chernobyl', which it is not……. A situation which has led to criticism of the INES."
Wakeford also highlights how lessons have been learnt since Chernobyl and have helped guide the actions taken by Japanese authorities, including the establishment of a 20km radius evacuation zone, banning the consumption of contaminated foodstuffs, issuing stable iodine tablets, and the monitoring of the thyroids of nearly 1,000 children in badly affected areas.
Wakeford also compares the reality on the ground -- sad but orderly evacuations and low level radiation risks among the most vulnerable -- with the pronouncements from some of those in authority outside Japan which, Wakeford writes, "have been breathtaking in their extravagance."
"Gunther Oettinger, European Commissioner for Energy, was reported on March 15 as saying, 'There is talk of an apocalypse and I think the word is particularly well-chosen.' Such remarks could have triggered panic in Tokyo and flight on the roads south, which would almost certainly have caused accidents and deaths."
While the monitoring of radiation levels across and beyond Fukushima Prefecture, and among those most likely to be affected, has returned results more encouraging than much of the speculation would suggest, Wakeford does point to some serious ongoing concerns.
One difficult decision facing the Japanese authorities is when and if evacuees are allowed to return to their homes. This will be especially problematical in the sector to the north-west of the site that has been particularly badly affected, and measures are likely to be needed in certain areas to reduce radiation levels before people are permitted to live there permanently.
Another key concern is how authorities will contain and deal with the highly contaminated water that has been found to be present on the Fukushima site.
Many questions surrounding events in Fukushima remain unanswered, most hinging on whether emergency systems were adequate to meet foreseeable, even if unlikely, circumstances.
Wakeford concludes, however, in admiration of Japanese courage, "Given the difficult background circumstances pertaining in Fukushima Prefecture as problems mounted at the Fukushima Dai-ichi NPS, the organisational abilities of the Japanese authorities in dealing with the evacuation, monitoring and protection of the public has to be admired. In particular, the heroic efforts of the emergency workers, battling under conditions that were often atrocious, should not pass without respect and praise. I for one bow to their courage."
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- Richard Wakeford. And now, Fukushima. Journal of Radiological Protection, 2011; 31 (2): 167-176 DOI: 10.1088/0952-4746/31/2/E02
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