Featured Research

from universities, journals, and other organizations

Researchers use math, maps to plot malaria elimination plan

Date:
October 29, 2010
Source:
University of Florida
Summary:
An international team of researchers has used mathematical models and maps to estimate the feasibility of eliminating malaria from countries that have the deadliest form of the disease.

Two University of Florida researchers and their international colleagues have used mathematical models and maps to estimate the feasibility of eliminating malaria from countries that have the deadliest form of the disease.

Related Articles


Andrew Tatem led a study that appears online and in the November print edition of the British medical journal The Lancet Malaria Elimination Series.

"People need to know that the money they are spending is having an effect," said Tatem, an assistant professor with joint appointments in UF's geography department, Emerging Pathogens Institute and Center for African Studies.

David L. Smith, a UF professor and co-author of the paper, says the data suggest that Plasmodium falciparum malaria, the deadliest parasite, could be eliminated in most parts of the world in 10 to 15 years, including most areas in Asia and the Americas, if transmission could be reduced by 90 percent from 2007 rates.

Half the world population lives at risk of malaria, a disease that kills 1.2 million people each year. Ninety percent of those deaths occur in sub-Saharan Africa.

Malaria has affected Africa disproportionately more than in any other part of the world, though other areas, including Pakistan and Afghanistan, face a growing challenge to contain a mosquito-borne illness that now has resistance to the medicines used to treat malaria and to the pesticides used to kill mosquitoes.

For five years, Tatem and Smith have collaborated with a team of scientists, geographers, statisticians and on-the-ground health workers to create a single worldwide database for mapping and modeling P. falciparum transmission. Their assessments in The Lancet Series are based on malaria's regional intrinsic transmission, the disease's toll on crippling health systems and the levels in which population movement help spread malaria across borders. Tatem and Smith's analysis may give the public health community a tool it needs to most effectively allocate financial and technical support for regions whose citizens suffer with the disease.

The UF researchers also evaluated the relative feasibility between countries of P. vivax elimination, another deadly form of malaria, though no comparable worldwide database currently exists to map the levels of risk for that strain.

Thirty-two of the 99 countries that still have endemic malaria have started to eliminate the disease from within their borders, and Tatem and Smith assert that, generally, countries in South America appear to be in the best position to succeed at elimination. Many sub-Saharan African nations rank at the bottom of the researchers' list of countries of relative feasibility for malaria elimination, including Angola, Chad, Somalia, and the Democratic Republic of Congo, places plagued by unstable governments and systemic poverty.

"Civil and economic strife is always good for malaria and bad for the people," said Smith, associate director for disease ecology at the UF Emerging Pathogens Institute and an associate professor of zoology. He added that there are signs of success in Africa, as several countries have scaled up malaria control programs. "Some African nations, such as Tanzania, Kenya and Botswana, are in a better position than others to fight malaria," Smith said.

Groups involved in malaria and demographic mapping initiatives include the Malaria Atlas Project (www.map.ox.ac.uk) based at Oxford University, AfriPop (www.afripop.org) based at UF, malERA (the Malaria Eradication Research Agenda), and Roll Back Malaria. The Lancet Series was initiated and supported by the Malaria Elimination Group and the Global Health Group at the University of California, San Francisco.

Tatem and Smith's research is partly funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.


Story Source:

The above story is based on materials provided by University of Florida. Note: Materials may be edited for content and length.


Journal Reference:

  1. Andrew J Tatem, David L Smith, Peter W Gething, Caroline W Kabaria, Robert W Snow, Simon I Hay. Ranking of elimination feasibility between malaria-endemic countries. The Lancet, 2010; DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(10)61301-3

Cite This Page:

University of Florida. "Researchers use math, maps to plot malaria elimination plan." ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 29 October 2010. <www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/10/101029075757.htm>.
University of Florida. (2010, October 29). Researchers use math, maps to plot malaria elimination plan. ScienceDaily. Retrieved November 27, 2014 from www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/10/101029075757.htm
University of Florida. "Researchers use math, maps to plot malaria elimination plan." ScienceDaily. www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/10/101029075757.htm (accessed November 27, 2014).

Share This


More From ScienceDaily



More Health & Medicine News

Thursday, November 27, 2014

Featured Research

from universities, journals, and other organizations


Featured Videos

from AP, Reuters, AFP, and other news services

Pet Dogs to Be Used in Anti-Ageing Trial

Pet Dogs to Be Used in Anti-Ageing Trial

Reuters - Innovations Video Online (Nov. 26, 2014) Researchers in the United States are preparing to discover whether a drug commonly used in human organ transplants can extend the lifespan and health quality of pet dogs. Video provided by Reuters
Powered by NewsLook.com
Today's Prostheses Are More Capable Than Ever

Today's Prostheses Are More Capable Than Ever

Newsy (Nov. 26, 2014) Advances in prosthetics are making replacement body parts stronger and more lifelike than they’ve ever been. Video provided by Newsy
Powered by NewsLook.com
From Popcorn To Vending Snacks: FDA Ups Calorie Count Rules

From Popcorn To Vending Snacks: FDA Ups Calorie Count Rules

Newsy (Nov. 25, 2014) The US FDA is announcing new calorie rules on Tuesday that will require everywhere from theaters to vending machines to include calorie counts. Video provided by Newsy
Powered by NewsLook.com
Daily Serving Of Yogurt Could Reduce Risk Of Type 2 Diabetes

Daily Serving Of Yogurt Could Reduce Risk Of Type 2 Diabetes

Newsy (Nov. 25, 2014) Need another reason to eat yogurt every day? Researchers now say it could reduce a person's risk of developing type 2 diabetes. Video provided by Newsy
Powered by NewsLook.com

Search ScienceDaily

Number of stories in archives: 140,361

Find with keyword(s):
Enter a keyword or phrase to search ScienceDaily for related topics and research stories.

Save/Print:
Share:

Breaking News:

Strange & Offbeat Stories


Health & Medicine

Mind & Brain

Living & Well

In Other News

... from NewsDaily.com

Science News

Health News

Environment News

Technology News



Save/Print:
Share:

Free Subscriptions


Get the latest science news with ScienceDaily's free email newsletters, updated daily and weekly. Or view hourly updated newsfeeds in your RSS reader:

Get Social & Mobile


Keep up to date with the latest news from ScienceDaily via social networks and mobile apps:

Have Feedback?


Tell us what you think of ScienceDaily -- we welcome both positive and negative comments. Have any problems using the site? Questions?
Mobile: iPhone Android Web
Follow: Facebook Twitter Google+
Subscribe: RSS Feeds Email Newsletters
Latest Headlines Health & Medicine Mind & Brain Space & Time Matter & Energy Computers & Math Plants & Animals Earth & Climate Fossils & Ruins