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Conclusive Proof That Polar Warming Is Being Caused By Humans

Date:
November 6, 2008
Source:
University of East Anglia
Summary:
New research by the University of East Anglia has demonstrated for the first time that human activity is responsible for significant warming in both polar regions.
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New research by the University of East Anglia (UEA) has demonstrated for the first time that human activity is responsible for significant warming in both polar regions.

The findings by a team of scientists led by UEA's Climatic Research Unit was recently published online by the Nature Geoscience.

Previous studies have observed rises in both Arctic and Antarctic temperatures over recent decades but have not formally attributed the changes to human influence due to poor observation data and large natural variability. Moreover, the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) had concluded that Antarctica was the only continent where human-induced temperature changes had yet to be detected.

Now, a newly updated data-set of land surface temperatures and simulations from four new climate models show that temperature rises in both polar regions are not consistent with natural climate variability alone and are directly attributable to human influence.

The results demonstrate that human activity has already caused significant warming, with impacts on polar biology, indigenous communities, ice-sheet mass balance and global sea level.

"This is an important work indeed," said Dr Alexey Karpechko of UEA's Climatic Research Unit.

"Arctic warming has previously been emphasized in several publications, although not formally attributed to human activity. However in Antarctica, such detection was so far precluded by insufficient data available. Moreover circulation changes caused by stratospheric ozone depletion opposed warming over most of Antarctica and made the detection even more difficult.

"Since the ozone layer is expected to recover in the future we may expect amplifying Antarctic warming in the coming years."

Authors of the article 'Attribution of polar warming to human influence' include Nathan Gillett (UEA/Environment Canada), Phil Jones (UEA), Alexey Karpechko (UEA), Daithi Stone (University of Oxford/Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research), Peter Scott (Met Office Hadley Centre), Toru Nozawa (National Institute for Environmental Studies, Japan), Gabriele Hegerl (University of Edinburgh), and Michael Wehner (Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, California).


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The above post is reprinted from materials provided by University of East Anglia. Note: Materials may be edited for content and length.


Journal Reference:

  1. Nathan Gillett et al. Attribution of polar warming to human influence. Nature Geoscience, October 30, 2008

Cite This Page:

University of East Anglia. "Conclusive Proof That Polar Warming Is Being Caused By Humans." ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 6 November 2008. <www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/10/081030144618.htm>.
University of East Anglia. (2008, November 6). Conclusive Proof That Polar Warming Is Being Caused By Humans. ScienceDaily. Retrieved September 4, 2015 from www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/10/081030144618.htm
University of East Anglia. "Conclusive Proof That Polar Warming Is Being Caused By Humans." ScienceDaily. www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/10/081030144618.htm (accessed September 4, 2015).

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