Featured Research

from universities, journals, and other organizations

Lessons from Japan's earthquake

Date:
March 14, 2011
Source:
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
Summary:
While Japan's 8.9-magnitude earthquake and accompanying tsunami represent a devastating natural disaster for the country's residents, scientists should also seize upon the massive temblor as an important learning tool for future quakes around the world, including the Pacific Northwest coast of the United States, according to U.S. experts.

WHOI earthquake seismologist Jeff McGuire has studied foreshocks extensively, a phenomenon in which a smaller quake seems to foreshadow a larger one. He and his colleagues have developed a new suite of ocean bottom seismometers (OBSs) capable of accurately recording both foreshocks and mainshocks "A few percent of earthquakes will trigger an event that is larger than the first event," he said.
Credit: Photo by Tom Kleindinst, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution

While Japan's 8.9-magnitude earthquake and accompanying tsunami represent a devastating natural disaster for the country's residents, scientists should also seize upon the massive temblor as an important learning tool for future quakes around the world, including the Pacific Northwest coast of the United States, according to experts from the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI).

WHOI geophysicist Jeff McGuire said such lessons may be particularly germane to residents of Northern California, Oregon, Washington and Vancouver--a region he said, could be subject to a similar quake/tsunami scenario. "Today's earthquake happened on a subduction zone thrust fault where the Pacific plate subducts, or dives, under the Japanese islands," he said. "Japan regularly has large earthquakes and tsunamis all along its east coast due to subduction.

"The west coast of the U.S., offshore of Oregon, Washington, Northern California, and Vancouver Island Canada, has a similar subduction zone that we think had similar size earthquakes regularly in the past, based on geologic evidence. The last one was in AD 1700, and they have a 250- to 500-year repeat time. There are no historical records from Oregon/Washington at that time, but the tsunami it generated was so large that it killed people in Japan."

McGuire has also studied foreshocks extensively, a phenomenon in which a smaller quake seems to foreshadow a larger one. "A few percent of earthquakes will trigger an event that is larger than the first event," he said.

That scenario may have been at work in the Japan quake -- formally identified as the N Honshu earthquake, according to WHOI Senior Scientist Jian Lin, currently on a research cruise in the Southern Ocean aboard the Korean icebreaker R/V Araon. Lin noted that a sizeable foreshock preceded the Japan quake.

"What is noticeable about the March 11, 2011 quake is that there was a magnitude 7.2 foreshock [on March 9], which is only 40 kilometers (km) away from the epicenter of the mainshock," said Lin, who has studied large quakes extensively, including last year's major quakes in Haiti and Chile.

"Foreshocks have been used previously as a tool for forecasting larger earthquakes," he said. "I am sure that we will be looking closely at this and other foreshocks."

The Araon started its mission in Christchurch, New Zealand, which experienced its own damaging earthquake this February. Now, heading back to Christchurch, it may encounter the remnants of the Japan tsunami -- albeit perhaps barely noticeable at the ship's current location. "Our cruise started with the Christchurch earthquake in New Zealand, and ends in sailing through a tsunami caused by the great Japan earthquake," Lin said.

The magnitude 8.9 quake struck 125 km off shore and about 370 km northeast of Tokyo, Lin said. It is likely to be the fifth largest earthquake ever recorded by instruments, he added.

Working on shipboard computers, Lin said that as of Friday afternoon, March 11, "I have already received notes of more than 40 aftershocks with magnitude greater than 5.8.

"One of the areas hit by the tsunami, Sanriku, was hit by previous tsunamis, including a tsunami caused by a 1933 magnitude 8.1 quake that killed 3,000 people, as well as the tsunami from the 2010 magnitude 8.8 quake in Chile," he said.

He compared the current quake to the 1923 great Kanto earthquake of magnitude 7.9, which he said marked the beginning of modern seismology in Japan. "Although that was smaller than the current quake, it struck very close to Tokyo and Yokohama," Lin said. It caused more than 142,000 deaths and also caused a tsunami in the Sagami Bay with wave heights as high 20 to 39 feet in some areas.

McGuire and others have long been aware that a similar scenario could occur off the Pacific Northwest coast.

Led by McGuire, John Collins and Ken Peal, WHOI currently has ocean bottom seismometers deployed offshore of Vancouver Island to study the properties of the fault system there.

"Over the next five years, WHOI will be involved in the National Science Foundation's Cascadia Initiative," McGuire said. "This will be the first large-scale instrumentation of the fault offshore of Oregon and Washington that is capable of generating a magnitude 9 earthquake and tsunami."

In the meantime, Lin and his colleagues are heading to Christchurch, having just finished a very successful cruise of hydrothermal, geophysical, and geochemical sampling cruise of mid-ocean ridge segments "that nobody has studied before," he said.

Lin plans to survey the Christchurch earthquake zone and the widespread liquefaction before returning to WHOI on March 15.

After that, he will work with colleagues at the USGS National Earthquake Center in Menlo Park, Ca., to investigate both the Christchurch and Japan quakes.


Story Source:

The above story is based on materials provided by Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. Note: Materials may be edited for content and length.


Cite This Page:

Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. "Lessons from Japan's earthquake." ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 14 March 2011. <www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/03/110314091644.htm>.
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. (2011, March 14). Lessons from Japan's earthquake. ScienceDaily. Retrieved August 28, 2014 from www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/03/110314091644.htm
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. "Lessons from Japan's earthquake." ScienceDaily. www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/03/110314091644.htm (accessed August 28, 2014).

Share This




More Earth & Climate News

Thursday, August 28, 2014

Featured Research

from universities, journals, and other organizations


Featured Videos

from AP, Reuters, AFP, and other news services

Big Waves, Minor Flooding from Hurricane

Big Waves, Minor Flooding from Hurricane

AP (Aug. 27, 2014) Thundering surf spawned by Hurricane Marie pounded the Southern California coast Wednesday, causing minor flooding in a low-lying beach town. High surf warnings were posted for Los Angeles County south through Orange County. (Aug. 27) Video provided by AP
Powered by NewsLook.com
Calif. Quake Underscores Need for Early Warning

Calif. Quake Underscores Need for Early Warning

AP (Aug. 26, 2014) Researchers at UC Berkeley are testing a prototype of an earthquake early warning system that California is pursuing years after places like Mexico and Japan already have them up and running. (August 26) Video provided by AP
Powered by NewsLook.com
Hurricane Marie Brings Big Waves to California Coast

Hurricane Marie Brings Big Waves to California Coast

Reuters - US Online Video (Aug. 26, 2014) Huge waves generated by Hurricane Marie hit the Southern California coast. Rough Cut (no reporter narration). Video provided by Reuters
Powered by NewsLook.com
Brazil Tries Genetically Modified Mosquitoes to Fight Dengue

Brazil Tries Genetically Modified Mosquitoes to Fight Dengue

AFP (Aug. 25, 2014) A factory in the industrial state of Sao Paulo produces genetically modified mosquitoes to fight dengue, a deadly tropical disease more prevalent in Brazil than anywhere else in the world. Duration: 00:57 Video provided by AFP
Powered by NewsLook.com

Search ScienceDaily

Number of stories in archives: 140,361

Find with keyword(s):
Enter a keyword or phrase to search ScienceDaily for related topics and research stories.

Save/Print:
Share:

Breaking News:
from the past week

In Other News

... from NewsDaily.com

Science News

Health News

Environment News

Technology News



Save/Print:
Share:

Free Subscriptions


Get the latest science news with ScienceDaily's free email newsletters, updated daily and weekly. Or view hourly updated newsfeeds in your RSS reader:

Get Social & Mobile


Keep up to date with the latest news from ScienceDaily via social networks and mobile apps:

Have Feedback?


Tell us what you think of ScienceDaily -- we welcome both positive and negative comments. Have any problems using the site? Questions?
Mobile: iPhone Android Web
Follow: Facebook Twitter Google+
Subscribe: RSS Feeds Email Newsletters
Latest Headlines Health & Medicine Mind & Brain Space & Time Matter & Energy Computers & Math Plants & Animals Earth & Climate Fossils & Ruins