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Risk of children orphaned from COVID-19 highest in poorest countries

In poorest countries, each COVID-19 death estimated to result in 1.56 orphans -- vs 0.09 orphans in high-GDP countries

Date:
August 31, 2022
Source:
PLOS
Summary:
The risk of children being orphaned per COVID-19 death is highest in the poorest countries and those where people of reproductive age have the highest rates of non-communicable diseases, according to a new study.
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The risk of children being orphaned per COVID-19 death is highest in the poorest countries and those where people of reproductive age have the highest rates of non-communicable diseases, according to a new study published this week in the open-access journal PLOS Global Public Health by Callum Lowe of Australian National University and colleagues.

Due to the higher COVID-19 mortality risk among adults than children, and the propensity of the SARS-CoV-2 virus to quickly spread throughout a household, there is the possibility that children will survive a COVID-19 infection while their parents or caregivers will not. In this study, the researchers used a previously developed COVID-19 orphanhood calculator to predict the total orphans per COVID-19 death for 139 countries. The calculator integrated information on fertility rates and pandemic mortality by age and sex. Information on other factors, including vaccine coverage and sociodemographics was also available at the country level.

The team found that the risk of orphaned children (those who have lost at least one of their parents or caregivers) was much higher in countries below median GDP per capita (1.56 orphans per COVID-19 death) compared to countries above median GDP (0.09 orphans per death). The increased risk of orphans was specifically associated with greater poverty prevalence (B = 2.32, p<0.01), lower GDP per capita (B = -0.23, p<0.05), and a higher proportion of people with non-communicative diseases who are between the ages of 15 and 49 (B = 1.46, p<0.0001). In almost all global regions, it was also associated with lower vaccination coverage.

The authors conclude that due to pre-existing health and vaccine coverage inequity, more children will suffer the loss of their parents due to COVID-19 in poorer countries.

The authors add: "COVID-19 has spread to almost every country on the globe, but the risk of children being orphaned due to COVID-19 is higher in poorer countries. Inequity in access to COVID-19 vaccines will bolster this issue further."


Story Source:

Materials provided by PLOS. Note: Content may be edited for style and length.


Journal Reference:

  1. Callum Lowe, Leli Rachmawati, Alice Richardson, Matthew Kelly. COVID-19 orphans—Global patterns associated with the hidden pandemic. PLOS Global Public Health, 2022; 2 (8): e0000317 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0000317

Cite This Page:

PLOS. "Risk of children orphaned from COVID-19 highest in poorest countries." ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 31 August 2022. <www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2022/08/220831152800.htm>.
PLOS. (2022, August 31). Risk of children orphaned from COVID-19 highest in poorest countries. ScienceDaily. Retrieved March 28, 2024 from www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2022/08/220831152800.htm
PLOS. "Risk of children orphaned from COVID-19 highest in poorest countries." ScienceDaily. www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2022/08/220831152800.htm (accessed March 28, 2024).

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